Dal ministero francese.
www.cgedd.developpement-durable.gouv.fr/IMG/pdf/Home_Prices_in_France_In_One_Page_cle05...
Questo fara' rabbrividire Aletiburtino.
« Reversion to the “tunnel” » scenarios, such as A and B (as well as intermediate scenarios) are finally the only remaining ones.
The A -“fast”- scenario assumes a 35% fall in home prices in nominal currency over 5 to 8 years. The B -“slow”-scenario assumes that home prices remain constant in nominal currency over 15 to 20 years, the reversion to the “tunnel” being slowly provided by the growth in income per household. Based on past patterns, the fast scenario seems more likely than the slow one, which nevertheless should not be neglected. The adjustment might be delayed by the current low interest rates, until investors’ myopia inverts its impact.
J. Friggit, CGEDD,
October 2010.